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Germany - 3. Liga logo Germany flag Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 38 Ludwigspark Stadion· Saarbrücken Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30
Saarbrucken logo Saarbrucken PPG 1.72
3-4 MISS
Hansa Rostock logo Hansa Rostock PPG 1.78
Away· +9.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.4%
Odds: 2.45 EV: -20.6%
Draw 25.7%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -4.5%
Away 42.0%
Odds: 2.60 EV: +9.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.55 -18.5%
Over 3.5 28.9% Odds: 2.35 -19.3%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.44 -21.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-0
4th 0-1
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Saarbrucken
1.19
Hansa Rostock
1.52

Model Suggestion

BTTS -21.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -21.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 12.3%
Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.72), Away GOOD (1.78)

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