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Germany - 3. Liga logo Germany flag Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 38 Jahnstadion Regensburg· Regensburg Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30
Regensburg logo Regensburg PPG 1.67
0-1 MISS
Energie Cottbus logo Energie Cottbus PPG 1.61
Home· +58.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.2%
Odds: 4.50 EV: +58.4%
Draw 24.4%
Odds: 4.40 EV: +4.4%
Away 40.4%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -34.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.40 -14.0%
Over 3.5 39.9% Odds: 2.00 -20.2%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.42 -15.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Regensburg
1.51
Energie Cottbus
1.70

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -14.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+58.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 12.3%
Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.61)

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