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Germany - 3. Liga logo Germany flag Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 38 Audi Sportpark· Ingolstadt Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30
FC Ingolstadt logo FC Ingolstadt PPG 1.11
5-1 MISS
Mannheim logo Mannheim PPG 1.00
Home· +4.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.8%
Odds: 2.05 EV: +4.1%
Draw 23.9%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -7.7%
Away 25.3%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -11.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.42 -9.3%
Over 3.5 45.2% Odds: 2.00 -9.6%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.35 -19.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Ingolstadt
1.98
Mannheim
1.47

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -9.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 12.3%
Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.11), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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