Today / Germany - 3. Liga / Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30

Hoffenheim II

PPG 1.09 · HOME

LAST 5

LWW ··

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

SSV Jahn Regensburg

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLL ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.9%0-23.9%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-05.9%1-19.3%1-27.3%1-33.8%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.5%3-15.6%3-24.4%3-32.3%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.1%4+-23.2%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% 38.2% 2.62 +13.5%

Draw 22.5% 26.7% 3.75 -9.4%

Away win 34.2% 42.0% 2.38 -18.6%

Over 2.5 63.1% 64.5% 1.55 -2.2%

Over 3.5 39.3% 42.6% 2.35 -7.6%

BTTS 63.1% 69.0% 1.45 -8.5%

Home O1.5 56.3% 50.0% 2.00 +12.6%

Away O1.5 47.9% 52.6% 1.90 -9.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 16.0%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.1%

H 43% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hoffenheim II1.9

SSV Jahn Regensburg1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HOFFENHEIM II · PPG 1.09

SSV JAHN REGENSBURG · PPG 1.48

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Hoffenheim II (H) 43.3%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +13.5%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -9.4%

SSV Jahn Regensburg (A) 34.2%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -18.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hoffenheim II face SSV Jahn Regensburg in Germany - 3. Liga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hoffenheim II a 43% chance, the draw 23% and SSV Jahn Regensburg 34%, so Hoffenheim II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Hoffenheim II and 1.6 for SSV Jahn Regensburg (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hoffenheim II are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.48 for SSV Jahn Regensburg. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +21.9%. This match finished 5-1.

Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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