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Germany - 3. Liga logo Germany flag Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 38 Sportclub Arena· Verl Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30
Verl logo Verl PPG 2.06
3-0 MISS
1860 Munchen logo 1860 Munchen PPG 1.22
Away· +1.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.1%
Odds: 1.67 EV: -13.0%
Draw 24.2%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +1.0%
Away 23.8%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +1.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.44 -11.6%
Over 3.5 40.0% Odds: 2.10 -16.0%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.44 -14.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Verl
2.08
1860 Munchen
1.14

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -11.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=52.1%

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