Alemannia A. vs Havelse Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 38 New Tivoli· Aachen Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30

Alemannia A. PPG 1.44

6-1 MISS

Havelse PPG 0.56

Away· +38.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.1%

Odds: 1.35 EV: -27.0%

Draw 23.2%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +15.2%

Away 22.7%

Odds: 7.20 EV: +38.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.28 -18.2%

Over 3.5 58.4% Odds: 1.75 +2.2%

BTTS 62.9% Odds: 1.44 -9.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Alemannia A.

2.66

Havelse

1.43

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -18.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-18.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=54.1%