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Germany - 3. Liga Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30 
Schweinfurt PPG 0.89 
Erzgebirge Aue PPG 0.61
Germany - 3. Liga Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30 Schweinfurt PPG 0.892-4 MISS
Erzgebirge Aue PPG 0.61Home· +26.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.45 -11.0%
Over 3.5 38.1% Odds: 2.05 -21.9%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.38 -17.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 0-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Schweinfurt 1.46
Erzgebirge Aue 1.67
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -11.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+26.7%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+26.7%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
BALANCED 48%
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.89), Away POOR (0.61)