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Germany - 3. Liga logo Germany flag Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 38 WIRmachenDRUCK Arena· Aspach Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30
VfB Stuttgart B logo VfB Stuttgart B PPG 1.72
3-4 MISS
Osnabruck logo Osnabruck PPG 2.17
Draw· +1.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.2%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -1.6%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +1.5%
Away 45.5%
Odds: 1.90 EV: -13.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.5% Odds: 1.48 -19.3%
Over 3.5 32.0% Odds: 2.20 -29.6%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.44 -21.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

VfB Stuttgart B
1.11
Osnabruck
1.75

Model Suggestion

BTTS -21.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -21.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.72) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.17)

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