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Germany - 3. Liga
Regular Season - 38
WIRmachenDRUCK Arena· Aspach
Saturday, May 16, 2026
11:30
VfB Stuttgart B
PPG 1.72
3-4
MISS
Osnabruck
PPG 2.17
Draw· +1.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
28.2%
Odds: 3.45
EV: -1.6%
Draw
26.3%
Odds: 3.90
EV: +1.5%
Away
45.5%
Odds: 1.90
EV: -13.6%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
54.5%
Odds: 1.48
-19.3%
Over 3.5
32.0%
Odds: 2.20
-29.6%
BTTS
54.6%
Odds: 1.44
-21.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-2
✘
3rd
0-2
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart B
1.11
Osnabruck
1.75
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-21.4%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -21.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+1.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: GOOD (1.72) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.17)