Today / Germany - 3. Liga / Viktoria Koln vs Alemannia A.
Viktoria Koln vs Alemannia A. Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga
Matchday 37 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 14:30
// Model verdict
Over 2.5 64% chance
Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 51 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 37% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.4%
Form & verdict
VIKTORIA KOLN · PPG 1.50
ALEMANNIA A. · PPG 1.78
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.78)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Viktoria Koln face Alemannia A. in Germany - 3. Liga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viktoria Koln a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Alemannia A. 36%, so Viktoria Koln are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Viktoria Koln and 1.7 for Alemannia A. (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viktoria Koln are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.78 for Alemannia A.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.7%. This match finished 0-3.