Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.45 -7.3%
Over 3.5 48.6% Odds: 2.00 -2.8%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.38 -13.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -7.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.11)