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Germany - 3. Liga logo Germany flag Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 38 BRITA-Arena· Wiesbaden Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30
Wehen Wiesbaden logo Wehen Wiesbaden PPG 1.78
2-0 MISS
Hoffenheim B logo Hoffenheim B PPG 1.11
Away· +2.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.2%
Odds: 1.90 EV: -6.5%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -8.6%
Away 26.3%
Odds: 3.95 EV: +2.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.45 -7.3%
Over 3.5 48.6% Odds: 2.00 -2.8%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.38 -13.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-2
4th 1-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Wehen Wiesbaden
2.03
Hoffenheim B
1.58

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.11)

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