Erovnuli Liga

GEORGIA · 68 MATCHES TRACKED · 21 APR 2026 – 4 SEPT 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 66 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

42.4%

1X2

28/66

51.5%

O/U 2.5

34/66

47.0%

BTTS

31/66

42.4%

Exact score

28/66

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

66.7%

Hit rate

6/9

1.85

Avg odds

+21.0%

ROI

+1.9u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.79 · +6.2% ROI

HOME WIN · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.92 · +91.5% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.10 · -100.0% ROI

BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.75 · +75.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Solid

Bets

100%

Hit

+75.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

80%

Hit

+42.8%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

33%

Hit

-33.3%

ROI

Match log

66 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

August 2026 // 14 PICKS · 10 HIT · 4 MISS

31 AUG Gagra vs FC Iberia 1999 BTTS 2–0 MISS 31 AUG Torpedo Kutaisi vs Meshakhte HO1.5 0–2 MISS 31 AUG Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila BTTS -12% 2–1 HIT 30 AUG Samgurali vs Rustavi BTTS 1–1 HIT 30 AUG Dinamo Batumi vs Spaeri Over 2.5 +7% 3–0 HIT 22 AUG Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi BTTS -13% 2–2 HIT 22 AUG Spaeri vs Samgurali BTTS +7% 3–4 HIT 22 AUG Rustavi vs Gagra Home -9% 3–0 HIT 21 AUG Meshakhte vs Dinamo Batumi BTTS -2% 0–1 MISS 17 AUG Gagra vs Spaeri — NO PICK 1–1 —16 AUG Dila vs Meshakhte Home -23% 3–1 HIT 16 AUG Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi Over 2.5 +9% 0–4 HIT 15 AUG Dinamo Tbilisi vs Rustavi BTTS -4% 0–3 MISS 15 AUG Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo BTTS -10% 4–3 HIT 9 AUG Meshakhte vs Samgurali BTTS -3% 1–2 HIT