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Dila vs Meshakhte Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 15:00

Dila

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Meshakhte

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.03 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-16.4%0-22.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.8%1-110.6%1-23.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.9%2-18.8%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.7%3-14.9%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-12.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.1% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 20.1% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 48.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -5.3%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.7%

H 56% / xG 1.7-0.6 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.8%

#2 2–0 13.9%

#3 1–1 10.6%

#4 0–0 10.1%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dila1.7

Meshakhte0.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DILA · PPG 1.40

MESHAKHTE · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.03 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dila (H) 56.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Meshakhte (A) 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dila face Meshakhte in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dila a 56% chance, the draw 24% and Meshakhte 20%, so Dila are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Dila and 0.6 for Meshakhte (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dila are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.60 for Meshakhte.

Dila vs Meshakhte Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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