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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Meshakhte Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Matchday 23 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 15:00

Torpedo Kutaisi

PPG 1.64 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWDL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Meshakhte

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.67 for Home, form 1.64 vs 0.55 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-13.2%0-21.2%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.6%1-17.7%1-22.8%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.7%2-19.2%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.1%3-17.3%3-22.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-010.7%4+-17.7%4+-22.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.7% — — —

Draw 19.0% — — —

Away win 15.3% — — —

Over 2.5 61.3% — — —

Over 3.5 39.0% — — —

BTTS 52.9% — — —

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 18.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 21.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.7%

#2 1–1 7.7%

#3 3–0 10.1%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torpedo Kutaisi2.4

Meshakhte0.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TORPEDO KUTAISI · PPG 1.64

MESHAKHTE · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.67 for Home, form 1.64 vs 0.55 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Torpedo Kutaisi (H) 65.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Meshakhte (A) 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Torpedo Kutaisi face Meshakhte in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torpedo Kutaisi a 66% chance, the draw 19% and Meshakhte 15%, so Torpedo Kutaisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.7 for Meshakhte (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torpedo Kutaisi are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.55 for Meshakhte. This match finished 0-2.

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Meshakhte Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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