Leagues / FINLAND / Kakkonen - Lohko C
Kakkonen - Lohko C
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 19 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
36.8%
1X2
7/19
78.9%
O/U 2.5
15/19
73.7%
BTTS
14/19
21.1%
Exact score
4/19
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
19
Settled
78.9%
Hit rate
15/19
1.25
Avg odds
-2.4%
ROI
-0.5u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=17 82.4% HIT · AVG 1.21 · +0.2% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.67 · -100.0% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.50 · +50.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
100%
Hit
+33.3%
ROI
✓ Solid
3
Bets
67%
Hit
-16.7%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
11
Bets
73%
Hit
-13.8%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+28.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
July 2026 // 11 PICKS · 8 HIT · 3 MISS
18 JUL JS Hercules vs JBK Over 2.5 -15% 5–3 HIT18 JUL Jaro II vs TP-47 Over 2.5 -12% 2–0 MISS17 JUL Vaajakoski vs Huima/Urho Over 2.5 -9% 0–1 MISS15 JUL GBK Kokkola vs Narpes Kraft Over 2.5 -5% 6–2 HIT12 JUL Vaajakoski vs Jaro II Over 2.5 -7% 5–2 HIT12 JUL Narpes Kraft vs VPS B Over 2.5 -7% 3–2 HIT11 JUL Huima/Urho vs JS Hercules Over 2.5 -7% 0–0 MISS7 JUL JBK vs Narpes Kraft Over 2.5 -10% 4–2 HIT5 JUL VPS B vs Huima/Urho Over 2.5 -9% 3–1 HIT4 JUL JS Hercules vs Vaajakoski Over 2.5 -8% 2–2 HIT4 JUL Narpes Kraft vs Jaro II Over 2.5 -7% 8–0 HIT