Today / Finland - Kakkonen Group C / Kraft vs SJK-juniorit

Kraft vs SJK-juniorit Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 15:30

Kraft logo
Kraft
PPG 1.50 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
SJK-juniorit logo
SJK-juniorit
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.8%0-20.6%0-30.3%0-4+0.2%1 1-01.9%1-12.9%1-22.2%1-31.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-03.6%2-15.4%2-24.1%2-32.1%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.5%3-16.8%3-25.2%3-32.6%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-011.4%4+-117.3%4+-213.2%4+-36.7%4+-4+3.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 68.6%
Draw 15.9%
Away win 15.5%
Over 2.5 82.1%
Over 3.5 64.7%
BTTS 69.4%
Home O1.5 80.3%
Away O1.5 47.3%

League track record

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 65%
Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 78%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)3.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob69.4%

H 69% / xG 3.8-1.5 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.8%
#2 4–1 6.4%
#3 2–1 5.4%
#4 3–2 5.2%
#5 4–2 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kraft3.8
SJK-juniorit1.5

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.1% · O3.5 PROB 64.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KRAFT · PPG 1.50

SJK-JUNIORIT · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.25 for Home, form 1.50 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kraft (H) 68.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
SJK-juniorit (A) 15.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kraft face SJK-juniorit in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kraft a 69% chance, the draw 16% and SJK-juniorit 16%, so Kraft are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Kraft and 1.5 for SJK-juniorit (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kraft are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for SJK-juniorit.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org