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GBK vs Jaro 2 Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 15:30

GBK

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDWD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Jaro 2

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.54 for Home, form 1.67 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-10.8%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-02.5%1-13.1%1-21.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-04.7%2-15.8%2-23.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.9%3-17.4%3-24.6%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-015.1%4+-118.8%4+-211.6%4+-34.8%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.2% — — —

Draw 15.3% — — —

Away win 14.5% — — —

Over 2.5 76.6% — — —

Over 3.5 56.2% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 26%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.4%

#2 4–1 7.0%

#3 2–2✓ 3.6%

#4 3–0 5.9%

#5 2–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GBK3.8

Jaro 21.2

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.6% · O3.5 PROB 56.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GBK · PPG 1.67

JARO 2 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.54 for Home, form 1.67 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

GBK (H) 70.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jaro 2 (A) 14.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GBK face Jaro 2 in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GBK a 70% chance, the draw 15% and Jaro 2 14%, so GBK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for GBK and 1.2 for Jaro 2 (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GBK are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Jaro 2. This match finished 2-2.

GBK vs Jaro 2 Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions