Today / Finland - Kakkonen Group C / SJK-juniorit vs JBK

SJK-juniorit vs JBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C · Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

SJK-juniorit

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDDL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

JBK

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.7% vs bookmaker-implied 81.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-16.1%0-25.3%0-33.0%0-4+1.9%1 1-05.7%1-19.9%1-28.5%1-34.9%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.6%2-18.0%2-26.9%2-33.9%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.5%3-14.3%3-23.7%3-32.1%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.5%4+-22.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.8% 29.8% 3.36 +16.9%

Draw 22.1% 25.1% 3.98 -7.2%

Away win 43.2% 56.2% 1.78 -23.1%

Over 2.5 64.7% 81.3% 1.23 -20.4%

Over 3.5 43.5% 59.9% 1.67 -27.4%

BTTS 63.2% 78.7% 1.27 -19.7%

Home O1.5 47.4% 53.5% 1.87 -11.4%

Away O1.5 48.5% 71.9% 1.39 -32.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.2%

A 43% / xG 1.6-1.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK-juniorit1.6

JBK1.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK-JUNIORIT · PPG 1.25

JBK · PPG 0.88

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SJK-juniorit (H) 34.8%

ODDS 3.36 · IMPLIED 29.8% EV +16.9%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.98 · IMPLIED 25.1% EV -7.2%

JBK (A) 43.2%

ODDS 1.78 · IMPLIED 56.2% EV -23.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK-juniorit face JBK in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK-juniorit a 35% chance, the draw 22% and JBK 43%, so JBK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for SJK-juniorit and 1.7 for JBK (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK-juniorit are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.88 for JBK. This match finished 0-1.

SJK-juniorit vs JBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions