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VPS II vs JS Hercules Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:30

VPS II

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

JS Hercules

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.16 for Home, form 1.88 vs 0.88 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.2%0-20.7%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.3%1-14.1%1-22.5%1-31.0%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.6%2-16.9%2-24.3%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.3%3-17.8%3-24.9%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-012.7%4+-115.8%4+-29.8%4+-34.1%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.4% 82.0% 1.22 -16.6%

Draw 16.3% 16.0% 6.25 +1.1%

Away win 15.3% 14.3% 7.00 +4.3%

Over 2.5 71.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.2% 83.3% 1.20 -37.4%

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.3%

H 68% / xG 3.4-1.2 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.8%

#2 2–1 6.9%

#3 4–1 6.7%

#4 3–0 6.3%

#5 2–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VPS II3.4

JS Hercules1.2

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VPS II · PPG 1.88

JS HERCULES · PPG 0.88

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.16 for Home, form 1.88 vs 0.88 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

VPS II (H) 68.4%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -16.6%

Draw 16.3%

ODDS 6.25 · IMPLIED 16.0% EV +1.1%

JS Hercules (A) 15.3%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +4.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

VPS II face JS Hercules in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VPS II a 68% chance, the draw 16% and JS Hercules 15%, so VPS II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for VPS II and 1.2 for JS Hercules (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VPS II are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.88 for JS Hercules.

VPS II vs JS Hercules Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions