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JBK vs Huima / Urho Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 16:00

JBK

PPG 2.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Huima / Urho

PPG 1.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.2% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-15.1%0-23.2%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.8%1-19.9%1-26.2%1-32.6%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.7%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.0%3-16.3%3-24.0%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-14.8%4+-23.0%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% 48.8% 2.05 +2.1%

Draw 21.7% 25.6% 3.90 -9.2%

Away win 28.5% 37.0% 2.70 -13.8%

Over 2.5 64.2% 73.5% 1.36 -12.7%

Over 3.5 44.7% 54.6% 1.83 -18.2%

BTTS 62.5% 73.5% 1.36 -15.0%

Home O1.5 55.8% 61.7% 1.62 -9.6%

Away O1.5 36.8% 54.6% 1.83 -32.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.5%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–2 6.2%

#4 2–0 7.7%

#5 1–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JBK2.0

Huima / Urho1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.7%

Form & verdict PPG

JBK · PPG 2.40

HUIMA / URHO · PPG 1.78

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

JBK (H) 49.8%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +2.1%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -9.2%

Huima / Urho (A) 28.5%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -13.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

JBK face Huima / Urho in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JBK a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Huima / Urho 28%, so JBK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for JBK and 1.3 for Huima / Urho (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JBK are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.78 for Huima / Urho.

JBK vs Huima / Urho Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions