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Huima / Urho vs Kraft Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C · Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

Huima / Urho

PPG 2.12 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kraft

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.6%0-20.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.2%1 1-01.4%1-12.4%1-22.1%1-31.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-02.7%2-14.7%2-24.1%2-32.4%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.5%3-16.1%3-25.3%3-33.1%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-09.7%4+-116.8%4+-214.5%4+-38.4%4+-4+5.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.3% — — —

Draw 15.8% — — —

Away win 15.9% — — —

Over 2.5 82.7% — — —

Over 3.5 66.2% — — —

BTTS 69.1% — — —

Home O1.5 78.4% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 26%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1✓ 6.1%

#2 4–1 6.0%

#3 2–2 4.1%

#4 3–2 5.3%

#5 4–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huima / Urho3.9

Kraft1.7

COMBINED 5.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.7% · O3.5 PROB 66.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HUIMA / URHO · PPG 2.12

KRAFT · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.17 for Home, form 2.12 vs 1.25 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Huima / Urho (H) 68.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kraft (A) 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Huima / Urho face Kraft in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huima / Urho a 68% chance, the draw 16% and Kraft 16%, so Huima / Urho are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for Huima / Urho and 1.7 for Kraft (5.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huima / Urho are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 1.25 for Kraft. This match finished 3-1.

Huima / Urho vs Kraft Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

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