Today / Finland - Kakkonen Group C / Jaro 2 vs Huima / Urho

Jaro 2 vs Huima / Urho Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Jaro 2

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Huima / Urho

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-14.5%0-24.8%0-33.5%0-4+3.1%1 1-03.6%1-17.7%1-28.3%1-36.0%1-4+5.3%2 2-03.1%2-16.6%2-27.1%2-35.1%2-4+4.5%3 3-01.8%3-13.8%3-24.1%3-32.9%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.4%4+-22.6%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.7% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 44.1% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 56.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.3%

A 44% / xG 1.7-2.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 1–2 8.3%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 1–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jaro 21.7

Huima / Urho2.2

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

JARO 2 · PPG 2.00

HUIMA / URHO · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jaro 2 (H) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Huima / Urho (A) 44.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jaro 2 face Huima / Urho in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jaro 2 a 34% chance, the draw 22% and Huima / Urho 44%, so Huima / Urho are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Jaro 2 and 2.2 for Huima / Urho (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jaro 2 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.62 for Huima / Urho.

Jaro 2 vs Huima / Urho Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions