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Kraft vs Jaro 2 Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 15:00

Kraft

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jaro 2

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 83.0% vs bookmaker-implied 85.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.5%0-20.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.1%1-11.9%1-21.6%1-30.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-02.4%2-14.0%2-23.4%2-31.9%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.4%3-15.7%3-24.8%3-32.7%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-011.2%4+-119.0%4+-216.1%4+-39.1%4+-4+5.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.0% 62.5% 1.60 +5.6%

Draw 13.9% 22.2% 4.50 -22.5%

Away win 20.1% 26.3% 3.80 -14.2%

Over 2.5 83.0% 85.5% 1.17 -2.9%

Over 3.5 66.9% 69.4% 1.44 -3.7%

BTTS 69.7% 80.0% 1.25 -12.9%

Home O1.5 78.3% 80.0% 1.25 -2.1%

Away O1.5 47.9% 54.6% 1.83 -12.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.7%

H 66% / xG 4.2-1.7 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.0%

#2 3–1 5.7%

#3 2–2 3.4%

#4 4–2 5.1%

#5 5–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kraft4.2

Jaro 21.7

COMBINED 5.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.0% · O3.5 PROB 66.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KRAFT · PPG 1.44

JARO 2 · PPG 1.00

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.53 for Home, form 1.44 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kraft (H) 66.0%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV +5.6%

Draw 13.9%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -22.5%

Jaro 2 (A) 20.1%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kraft face Jaro 2 in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kraft a 66% chance, the draw 14% and Jaro 2 20%, so Kraft are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for Kraft and 1.7 for Jaro 2 (5.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kraft are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.00 for Jaro 2. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +42.9%.

Kraft vs Jaro 2 Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions