| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 3 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| F | 3 | 100.0% | +5900.0% |
| Unrated | 4 | 50.0% | −2200.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | 6 | 33.3% | −4800.0% |
| Away | 2 | 50.0% | −3900.0% |
| Home | 2 | 100.0% | +7750.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Over2.5 @6% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Over2.5 @21% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value | 1 | 100.0% | +6200.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | Best EV: Away @11% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @17% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away | Best EV: Away @21% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @22% | 1 | 100.0% | +9500.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @19% | 1 | 100.0% | +6000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @8% | 1 | 100.0% | +5000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity | Best EV: Away @6% | 1 | 100.0% | +2200.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Wimborne vs Bracknell Town | BTTS | -10% EV | 3-3 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Chertsey Town vs Hungerford | Home | 19% EV | 1-0 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Dorchester vs Sholing | Over 2.5 | — | 0-4 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Gloucester City vs Walton e H. | Over 2.5 | — | 1-0 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Gosport Borough vs P. Parkway | Over 2.5 | — | 3-6 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke T. | BTTS | — | 2-1 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Havant e W. vs Yate Town | Over 2.5 | 7% EV | 1-3 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Taunton Town vs Evesham United | Over 2.5 | — | 0-0 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Tiverton Town vs Farnham Town | Away | 6% EV | 0-3 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Uxbridge vs Poole Town | Over 2.5 | — | 3-3 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Berkhamsted vs Weymouth | Home | 22% EV | 2-0 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | Hungerford vs Dorchester | BTTS | — | 0-0 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | P. Parkway vs Hanwell Town | BTTS | — | 2-0 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Poole Town vs Havant e W. | Over 2.5 | 21% EV | 2-0 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Sholing vs Wimborne | Over 2.5 | 1% EV | 2-2 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | Taunton Town vs Bracknell Town | Over 2.5 | 5% EV | 2-0 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Walton e H. vs Uxbridge | Over 2.5 | 12% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Weymouth vs Chertsey Town | BTTS | — | 5-1 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | Yate Town vs Gloucester City | Over 2.5 | -1% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | Farnham Town vs Berkhamsted | Over 2.5 | 6% EV | 1-0 | MISS |