Leagues / ENGLAND / Non League Premier - Southern South
Non League Premier - Southern South
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 20 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
50.0%
1X2
10/20
50.0%
O/U 2.5
10/20
45.0%
BTTS
9/20
30.0%
Exact score
6/20
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
11
Settled
63.6%
Hit rate
7/11
1.55
Avg odds
-1.3%
ROI
-0.1u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=7 42.9% HIT · AVG 1.55 · -33.6% ROI
HOME WIN · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.77 · +77.5% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.22 · +22.0% ROI
BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · +44.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
67%
Hit
-6.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-2.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
6
Bets
67%
Hit
+1.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
April 2026 // 15 PICKS · 10 HIT · 5 MISS
25 APR Wimborne vs Bracknell Town BTTS -10% 3–3 HIT25 APR Chertsey Town vs Hungerford Home +19% 1–0 HIT25 APR Dorchester vs Sholing Over 2.5 0–4 HIT25 APR Gloucester City vs Walton e H. Over 2.5 1–0 MISS25 APR Gosport Borough vs P. Parkway Over 2.5 3–6 HIT25 APR Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke T. BTTS 2–1 HIT25 APR Havant e W. vs Yate Town Over 2.5 +7% 1–3 HIT25 APR Taunton Town vs Evesham United Over 2.5 0–0 MISS25 APR Tiverton Town vs Farnham Town Away +6% 0–3 HIT25 APR Uxbridge vs Poole Town Over 2.5 3–3 HIT25 APR Berkhamsted vs Weymouth Home +22% 2–0 HIT18 APR Hungerford vs Dorchester BTTS 0–0 MISS18 APR P. Parkway vs Hanwell Town BTTS 2–0 MISS18 APR Poole Town vs Havant e W. Over 2.5 +21% 2–0 MISS18 APR Sholing vs Wimborne Over 2.5 +1% 2–2 HIT