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Berkhamsted vs Weymouth Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 42 The Glencar Community Stadium· Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Berkhamsted logo Berkhamsted PPG 1.85
2-0 HIT CS2
Weymouth logo Weymouth PPG 1.15
Home· +21.9% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Berkhamsted face Weymouth in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Berkhamsted a 63% chance, the draw 20% and Weymouth 17%, so Berkhamsted are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Berkhamsted and 1.0 for Weymouth (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Berkhamsted are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.15 for Weymouth. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.9%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.5%
Odds: 1.95 EV: +21.9%
Draw 20.3%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -33.0%
Away 17.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -46.7%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.7% Odds: —
Over 3.5 37.4% Odds: —
BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.57 -13.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Berkhamsted
2.09
Weymouth
1.00

Model Suggestion

Home +21.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 45%
Score Hit 30%
ROI -21.1%
Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away AVERAGE (1.15)

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