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Wimborne vs Bracknell Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

Regular Season - 42 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Wimborne

PPG 1.55 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bracknell Town

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.6% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-15.8%0-24.0%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.4%1-110.4%1-27.2%1-33.3%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.3%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.0%3-15.5%3-23.8%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.7%4+-22.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% 45.5% 2.20 +3.2%

Draw 23.0% 32.3% 3.10 -28.7%

Away win 30.1% 34.7% 2.88 -13.3%

Over 2.5 61.6% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 62.6% 69.4% 1.44 -9.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -1.3%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.6%

H 47% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 7.4%

#4 1–2 7.2%

#5 2–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wimborne1.8

Bracknell Town1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WIMBORNE · PPG 1.55

BRACKNELL TOWN · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.55) > Away AVERAGE (1.15)

Win probability 1X2

Wimborne (H) 46.9%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +3.2%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -28.7%

Bracknell Town (A) 30.1%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -13.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wimborne face Bracknell Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wimborne a 47% chance, the draw 23% and Bracknell Town 30%, so Wimborne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Wimborne and 1.4 for Bracknell Town (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wimborne are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.15 for Bracknell Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.2%. This match finished 3-3.

Wimborne vs Bracknell Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

Match Preview & Prediction

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