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Chertsey Town vs Hungerford Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 42 Alwyns Lane Football Ground· Chertsey, Surrey Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Chertsey Town logo Chertsey Town PPG 1.75
1-0 HIT CS5
Hungerford logo Hungerford PPG 0.80
Home· +18.7% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chertsey Town face Hungerford in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chertsey Town a 74% chance, the draw 15% and Hungerford 11%, so Chertsey Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Chertsey Town and 1.0 for Hungerford (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chertsey Town are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.80 for Hungerford. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.7%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 74.2%
Odds: 1.60 EV: +18.7%
Draw 14.9%
Odds: 3.85 EV: -42.6%
Away 10.9%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -54.2%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.5% Odds: —
Over 3.5 50.6% Odds: 2.05 +3.7%
BTTS 58.2% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 3-0
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Chertsey Town
2.73
Hungerford
0.97

Model Suggestion

Home +18.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.75), Away POOR (0.80) - Strong consensus

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