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Tiverton Town vs Farnham Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 42 Ladysmead· Tiverton, Devon Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Tiverton Town logo Tiverton Town PPG 0.56
0-3 HIT MostLikelyScore
Farnham Town logo Farnham Town PPG 2.00
Over3.5· +26.7% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tiverton Town face Farnham Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tiverton Town a 5% chance, the draw 8% and Farnham Town 87%, so Farnham Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Tiverton Town and 3.7 for Farnham Town (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tiverton Town are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 2.00 for Farnham Town. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +26.7%. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 4.7%
Odds: 10.00 EV: -53.0%
Draw 8.3%
Odds: 5.10 EV: -57.7%
Away 87.0%
Odds: 1.22 EV: +6.1%
Model lean: Away
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 83.3% Odds: —
Over 3.5 66.7% Odds: 1.90 +26.7%
BTTS 56.6% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-3
2nd 0-4
3rd 1-3
4th 0-2
5th 1-4

Expected Goals (xG)

Tiverton Town
0.87
Farnham Town
3.69

Model Suggestion

Away +6.1% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+26.7%)

League Track Record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 45%
Score Hit 30%
ROI -21.1%
Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.56)

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