Sholing vs Wimborne Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 41 Mortgage Decisions Stadium· Southampton, Hampshire Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Sholing PPG 1.90

2-2 MISS

Wimborne PPG 0.79

Over2.5· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sholing face Wimborne in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sholing a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Wimborne 19%, so Sholing are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Sholing and 1.1 for Wimborne (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sholing are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 0.79 for Wimborne. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.3%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.6%

Odds: 1.67 EV: +1.2%

Draw 20.4%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -22.5%

Away 19.0%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -27.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.5% Odds: 1.62 +1.3%

Over 3.5 40.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sholing

2.12

Wimborne

1.10

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +1.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 45%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -21.1%

Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.90) vs P(Home)=60.6%