Dorchester vs Sholing Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 42 Clayson Stadium· Dorchester, Dorset Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Dorchester PPG 1.00

0-4 MISS

Sholing PPG 1.35

Away· -2.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Dorchester face Sholing in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dorchester a 22% chance, the draw 22% and Sholing 56%, so Sholing are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dorchester and 2.0 for Sholing (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dorchester are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.35 for Sholing. This match finished 0-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.1%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -16.0%

Draw 21.9%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -23.4%

Away 56.0%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -2.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 37.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.7% Odds: 1.50 -11.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Dorchester

1.15

Sholing

1.95

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.35)