Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke T. Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 42 The Powerday Stadium· London Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Hanwell Town PPG 1.58

2-1 HIT CS2

Basingstoke T. PPG 1.00

Home· +10.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hanwell Town face Basingstoke T. in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hanwell Town a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Basingstoke T. 29%, so Hanwell Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Hanwell Town and 1.4 for Basingstoke T. (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hanwell Town are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.00 for Basingstoke T.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.6%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.1%

Odds: 2.30 EV: +10.6%

Draw 23.0%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -21.8%

Away 28.9%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -26.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.0% Odds: 1.60 -2.4%

Over 3.5 38.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 61.9% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hanwell Town

1.80

Basingstoke T.

1.35

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 45%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -21.1%

Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.58) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)