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Gloucester City vs Walton e H. Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 42 New Meadow Park· Gloucester, Gloucestershire Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Gloucester City logo Gloucester City PPG 2.35
1-0 MISS
Walton e H. logo Walton e H. PPG 2.05
Away· +11.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Gloucester City face Walton e H. in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gloucester City a 41% chance, the draw 22% and Walton e H. 37%, so Gloucester City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Gloucester City and 1.8 for Walton e H. (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gloucester City are averaging 2.35 points per game versus 2.05 for Walton e H.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.3%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.0%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -18.0%
Draw 21.9%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -27.7%
Away 37.1%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +11.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 48.7% Odds: —
BTTS 69.8% Odds: 1.40 -2.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Gloucester City
1.85
Walton e H.
1.76

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.35) > Away EXCELLENT (2.05)

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