P. Parkway vs Hanwell Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 41 Manadon Sports Hub· Plymouth, Devon Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

P. Parkway PPG 1.65

2-0 MISS

Hanwell Town PPG 0.90

Over2.5· +2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Parkway face Hanwell Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Parkway a 40% chance, the draw 23% and Hanwell Town 37%, so P. Parkway are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for P. Parkway and 1.6 for Hanwell Town (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Parkway are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 0.90 for Hanwell Town. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.2%

Odds: 2.45 EV: -1.5%

Draw 22.8%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -14.5%

Away 37.0%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -14.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.2% Odds: 1.57 +2.4%

Over 3.5 43.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 66.1% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

P. Parkway

1.72

Hanwell Town

1.64

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.65) > Away POOR (0.90)