Havant e W. vs Yate Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 42 Westleigh Park· Havant, Hampshire Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Havant e W. PPG 1.65

1-3 MISS

Yate Town PPG 0.80

Home· +7.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Havant e W. face Yate Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Havant e W. a 62% chance, the draw 19% and Yate Town 20%, so Havant e W. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Havant e W. and 1.3 for Yate Town (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Havant e W. are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 0.80 for Yate Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.6%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.5%

Odds: 1.75 EV: +7.6%

Draw 18.8%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -31.4%

Away 19.7%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -28.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.6% Odds: 1.50 +7.4%

Over 3.5 50.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 66.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 3-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Havant e W.

2.40

Yate Town

1.31

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +7.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+7.6%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.65) vs P(Home)=61.5%