Gosport Borough vs P. Parkway Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 42 Privett Park· Gosport, Hampshire Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Gosport Borough PPG 1.65

3-6 MISS

P. Parkway PPG 0.85

Home· +30.2% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Gosport Borough face P. Parkway in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gosport Borough a 62% chance, the draw 18% and P. Parkway 20%, so Gosport Borough are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Gosport Borough and 1.5 for P. Parkway (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gosport Borough are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 0.85 for P. Parkway. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.2%. This match finished 3-6.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.0%

Odds: 2.10 EV: +30.2%

Draw 17.7%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -41.6%

Away 20.3%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -41.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 78.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 59.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 72.0% Odds: 1.40 +0.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Gosport Borough

2.64

P. Parkway

1.50

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 45%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -21.1%

Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.65) > Away POOR (0.85)