Uxbridge vs Poole Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 42 Honeycroft· London Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Uxbridge PPG 1.55

3-3 MISS

Poole Town PPG 1.75

Away· +24.2% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Uxbridge face Poole Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uxbridge a 32% chance, the draw 22% and Poole Town 46%, so Poole Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Uxbridge and 1.9 for Poole Town (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uxbridge are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.75 for Poole Town. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +24.2%. This match finished 3-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.1%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -31.0%

Draw 21.9%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -22.3%

Away 46.0%

Odds: 2.70 EV: +24.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 46.6% Odds: 2.15 +0.2%

BTTS 67.9% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Uxbridge

1.59

Poole Town

1.93

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.55), Away GOOD (1.75)