Hungerford vs Dorchester Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 41 Bulpit Lane· Hungerford, Berkshire Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Hungerford PPG 1.05

0-0 MISS

Dorchester PPG 0.95

Over2.5· +1.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hungerford face Dorchester in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hungerford a 38% chance, the draw 23% and Dorchester 39%, so Dorchester are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Hungerford and 1.6 for Dorchester (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hungerford are averaging 1.05 points per game versus 0.95 for Dorchester. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.7%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -13.3%

Draw 23.2%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -14.2%

Away 39.1%

Odds: 2.45 EV: -4.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.1% Odds: 1.60 +1.0%

Over 3.5 40.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 64.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hungerford

1.61

Dorchester

1.64

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.05), Away POOR (0.95)