Taunton Town vs Evesham United Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 42 Cygnet Health Care Stadium· Taunton, Somerset Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Taunton Town PPG 1.58

0-0 MISS

Evesham United PPG 0.75

Home· +16.8% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Taunton Town face Evesham United in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Taunton Town a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Evesham United 24%, so Taunton Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Taunton Town and 1.3 for Evesham United (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Taunton Town are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 0.75 for Evesham United. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +16.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.3%

Odds: 2.15 EV: +16.8%

Draw 21.5%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -24.8%

Away 24.1%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -36.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 41.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 62.6% Odds: 1.57 -1.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Taunton Town

2.01

Evesham United

1.28

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.58) vs P(Home)=54.3%