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Poole Town vs Havant e W. Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 41 Tatnam Ground· Poole, Dorset Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Poole Town logo Poole Town PPG 1.80
2-0 HIT CS5
Havant e W. logo Havant e W. PPG 1.25
Over2.5· +20.5% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Poole Town face Havant e W. in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Poole Town a 59% chance, the draw 19% and Havant e W. 22%, so Poole Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Poole Town and 1.4 for Havant e W. (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Poole Town are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.25 for Havant e W.. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.2%
Odds: 1.80 EV: +6.6%
Draw 18.9%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -28.2%
Away 21.9%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -25.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 74.4% Odds: 1.62 +20.5%
Over 3.5 54.4% Odds: —
BTTS 69.8% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 3-1
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Poole Town
2.44
Havant e W.
1.45

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +20.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

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