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Dagenham & Redbridge vs Slough Town Prediction— England - National League - South

National League South · Matchday 6 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 14:00

Dagenham & Redbridge

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Slough Town

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-13.3%0-21.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.4%1-17.9%1-24.2%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.0%2-19.6%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.3%3-17.7%3-24.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-07.8%4+-18.3%4+-24.4%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.7% 71.4% 1.40 -16.4%

Draw 19.2% 23.8% 4.20 -11.6%

Away win 21.1% 14.8% 6.75 +25.5%

Over 2.5 65.0% 66.7% 1.50 -2.5%

Over 3.5 44.8% 45.5% 2.20 -1.4%

BTTS 59.3% 62.5% 1.60 -5.1%

Home O1.5 66.3% 72.5% 1.38 -8.5%

Away O1.5 32.5% 29.4% 3.40 +10.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 8.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.3%

H 60% / xG 2.4-1.1 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 9.0%

#4 3–1 7.7%

#5 3–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dagenham & Redbridge2.4

Slough Town1.1

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE · PPG 2.00

SLOUGH TOWN · PPG 0.82

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.36 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dagenham & Redbridge (H) 59.7%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -16.4%

Draw 19.2%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -11.6%

Slough Town (A) 21.1%

ODDS 6.75 · IMPLIED 14.8% EV +25.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dagenham & Redbridge face Slough Town in England - National League - South on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dagenham & Redbridge a 60% chance, the draw 19% and Slough Town 21%, so Dagenham & Redbridge are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Dagenham & Redbridge and 1.1 for Slough Town (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dagenham & Redbridge are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.82 for Slough Town. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +13.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Slough Town Prediction— England - National League - South

Match Preview & Prediction

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