Today / England - National League - North / Radcliffe vs Darlington 1883

Radcliffe vs Darlington 1883 Prediction— England - National League - North

National League North · Matchday 6 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 14:00

Radcliffe

PPG 1.45 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Darlington 1883

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-16.4%0-25.0%0-32.7%0-4+1.5%1 1-06.6%1-110.4%1-28.2%1-34.3%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.4%2-18.5%2-26.7%2-33.5%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.9%3-14.6%3-23.6%3-31.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.7%4+-22.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.8% 40.8% 2.45 -2.5%

Draw 24.0% 28.2% 3.55 -8.9%

Away win 36.2% 40.8% 2.45 -11.3%

Over 2.5 61.7% 63.7% 1.57 -3.1%

Over 3.5 40.2% 41.7% 2.40 -3.5%

BTTS 61.5% 69.0% 1.45 -10.8%

Home O1.5 48.1% 51.3% 1.95 -6.2%

Away O1.5 47.9% 51.3% 1.95 -6.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.5%

H 40% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radcliffe1.6

Darlington 18831.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RADCLIFFE · PPG 1.45

DARLINGTON 1883 · PPG 1.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Radcliffe (H) 39.8%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -2.5%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -8.9%

Darlington 1883 (A) 36.2%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -11.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radcliffe face Darlington 1883 in England - National League - North on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radcliffe a 40% chance, the draw 24% and Darlington 1883 36%, so Radcliffe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Radcliffe and 1.6 for Darlington 1883 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radcliffe are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.55 for Darlington 1883. This match finished 0-1.

Radcliffe vs Darlington 1883 Prediction— England - National League - North

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - National League - North Predictions