FA WSL

ENGLAND · 19 MATCHES TRACKED · 25 APR 2026 – 16 MAY 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 19 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

68.4%

1X2

13/19

57.9%

O/U 2.5

11/19

42.1%

BTTS

8/19

42.1%

Exact score

8/19

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

33.3%

Hit rate

1/3

1.59

Avg odds

-45.0%

ROI

-1.4u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

AWAY WIN · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.55 · -100.0% ROI

OVER 2.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · +65.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

50%

Hit

-17.5%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

Match log

19 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 13 PICKS · 11 HIT · 2 MISS

16 MAY Liverpool W vs Arsenal W Away -19% 1–3 HIT 16 MAY West Ham W vs Man City W Away -24% 1–4 HIT 16 MAY London City L W vs Aston Villa W Over 2.5 +1% 2–1 HIT 16 MAY Brighton W vs Tottenham W Over 2.5 -1% 1–2 HIT 16 MAY Everton W vs Leicester W Home -9% 1–0 HIT 16 MAY Chelsea W vs Man Utd W BTTS -3% 1–0 MISS 13 MAY Arsenal W vs Everton W Home -26% 1–0 HIT 9 MAY Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W Away -19% 0–3 HIT 4 MAY Aston Villa W vs West Ham W BTTS -1% 0–2 MISS 3 MAY Tottenham W vs London City L W BTTS -3% 2–1 HIT 3 MAY Man City W vs Liverpool W Home -10% 1–0 HIT 3 MAY Leicester W vs Chelsea W Away -26% 1–3 HIT 2 MAY Man Utd W vs Brighton W BTTS -15% 1–1 HIT

April 2026 // 2 PICKS · 2 HIT · 0 MISS

29 APR Arsenal W vs Leicester W Home -12% 7–0 HIT 26 APR London City L W vs Leicester W Home -25% 5–1 HIT