Chelsea W vs Man Utd W Prediction & Tips

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England - FA WSL Regular Season - 22 Stamford Bridge· London Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00

Chelsea W PPG 2.40

1-0 HIT CS4

Man Utd W PPG 2.10

Away· +63.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.8%

Odds: 1.38 EV: -36.8%

Draw 27.5%

Odds: 4.30 EV: +10.9%

Away 26.8%

Odds: 7.70 EV: +63.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.70 -10.6%

Over 3.5 27.1% Odds: 2.75 -15.3%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.85 -2.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chelsea W

1.45

Man Utd W

1.19

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -10.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -10.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+63.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.40), Away EXCELLENT (2.10)