England - FA WSLRegular Season - 21Leigh Sports Village· LeighSaturday, May 2, 202611:00
Man Utd WPPG 1.80
1-1HIT MostLikelyScore
Brighton WPPG 1.00
Away· +28.2%✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home49.4%
Odds: 1.48EV: -26.9%
Draw28.3%
Odds: 4.20EV: +18.9%
Away22.3%
Odds: 5.75EV: +28.2%
Model lean: BTTSNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.549.3%Odds: 1.53-24.6%
Over 3.527.4%Odds: 2.35-35.6%
BTTS53.2%Odds: 1.60-14.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✔
2nd1-0✘
3rd2-1✘
4th2-0✘
5th0-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Man Utd W
1.62
Brighton W
1.03
Model Suggestion
BTTS-14.9%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+28.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)