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England - FA WSL logo England flag England - FA WSL Regular Season - 21 Leigh Sports Village· Leigh Saturday, May 2, 2026 11:00
Man Utd W logo Man Utd W PPG 1.80
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Brighton W logo Brighton W PPG 1.00
Away· +28.2% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.4%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -26.9%
Draw 28.3%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +18.9%
Away 22.3%
Odds: 5.75 EV: +28.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.3% Odds: 1.53 -24.6%
Over 3.5 27.4% Odds: 2.35 -35.6%
BTTS 53.2% Odds: 1.60 -14.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Man Utd W
1.62
Brighton W
1.03

Model Suggestion

BTTS -14.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+28.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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