← Back to picks

Leicester W vs Chelsea W Prediction— England - FA WSL

England - FA WSL logo England flag England - FA WSL Regular Season - 21 King Power Stadium· Leicester Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:30
Leicester W logo Leicester W PPG 0.70
1-3 MISS
Chelsea W logo Chelsea W PPG 1.90
Home· +147.2% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Leicester W face Chelsea W in England - FA WSL on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leicester W a 10% chance, the draw 20% and Chelsea W 69%, so Chelsea W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Leicester W and 2.3 for Chelsea W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leicester W are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 1.90 for Chelsea W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +147.2%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 10.3%
Odds: 24.00 EV: +147.2%
Draw 20.3%
Odds: 8.90 EV: +80.7%
Away 69.4%
Odds: 1.07 EV: -25.7%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.28 -24.3%
Over 3.5 36.7% Odds: 1.70 -37.6%
BTTS 50.4% Odds: 2.10 +5.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Leicester W
0.80
Chelsea W
2.27

Model Suggestion

Away -25.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -25.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+147.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%
O2.5/Under 58%
BTTS/No 42%
Score Hit 42%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.90) vs Home POOR (0.70)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org