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England - FA WSL logo England flag England - FA WSL Regular Season - 22 Chigwell Construction Stadium· Essex Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
West Ham W logo West Ham W PPG 1.00
1-4 MISS
Man City W logo Man City W PPG 1.90
Home· +65.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.5%
Odds: 15.50 EV: +65.5%
Draw 21.2%
Odds: 6.00 EV: +16.3%
Away 65.3%
Odds: 1.16 EV: -24.3%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.38 -11.8%
Over 3.5 48.6% Odds: 1.93 -6.2%
BTTS 51.9% Odds: 1.90 -1.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-3
3rd 1-2
4th 1-3
5th 0-4

Expected Goals (xG)

West Ham W
0.79
Man City W
2.81

Model Suggestion

Away -24.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -24.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+65.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%
O2.5/Under 58%
BTTS/No 42%
Score Hit 42%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.90) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

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