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England - FA WSL logo England flag England - FA WSL Regular Season - 22 Goodison Park· Liverpool Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
Everton W logo Everton W PPG 0.60
1-0 HIT CS3
Leicester W logo Leicester W PPG 0.20
Draw· -4.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.3%
Odds: 1.64 EV: -9.3%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -4.1%
Away 20.2%
Odds: 4.60 EV: -4.3%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.77 -6.9%
Over 3.5 30.9% Odds: 2.95 -8.8%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.73 -10.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Everton W
2.01
Leicester W
0.80

Model Suggestion

Home -9.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -9.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.60) > Away POOR (0.20)

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