Today / China - Super League / Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda

Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Prediction— China - Super League

Matchday 24 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 11:00

Wuhan Three Towns

PPG 1.40 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLDW

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Tianjin Teda

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLDD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-17.9%0-25.1%0-32.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-09.2%1-111.9%1-27.7%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.9%2-18.9%2-25.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.4%3-14.4%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.8% 44.2% 2.26 +3.5%

Draw 24.7% 29.0% 3.45 -8.9%

Away win 29.5% 36.0% 2.78 -10.8%

Over 2.5 59.7% 58.8% 1.70 +1.5%

Over 3.5 36.6% 36.4% 2.75 +0.7%

BTTS 60.4% 64.5% 1.55 -6.4%

Home O1.5 40.0% 50.0% 2.00 -20.0%

Away O1.5 37.5% 43.5% 2.30 -13.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 109 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -10.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.4%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–0 9.2%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wuhan Three Towns1.5

Tianjin Teda1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WUHAN THREE TOWNS · PPG 1.40

TIANJIN TEDA · PPG 1.36

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wuhan Three Towns (H) 45.8%

ODDS 2.26 · IMPLIED 44.2% EV +3.5%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -8.9%

Tianjin Teda (A) 29.5%

ODDS 2.78 · IMPLIED 36.0% EV -10.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuhan Three Towns face Tianjin Teda in China - Super League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuhan Three Towns a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Tianjin Teda 30%, so Wuhan Three Towns are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.3 for Tianjin Teda (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuhan Three Towns are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.36 for Tianjin Teda. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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