Today / China - Super League / Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction— China - Super League

Matchday 25 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 09:00

Qingdao Jonoon

PPG 1.55 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Wuhan Three Towns

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-14.8%0-23.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.3%1-19.6%1-26.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.3%2-19.6%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.8%3-16.4%3-24.2%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-15.0%4+-23.3%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.7% 39.2% 2.55 +21.6%

Draw 23.1% 28.6% 3.50 -11.5%

Away win 29.3% 41.0% 2.44 -17.1%

Over 2.5 62.0% 60.6% 1.65 +2.3%

Over 3.5 39.3% 38.2% 2.62 +3.0%

BTTS 60.8% 66.7% 1.50 -8.8%

Home O1.5 56.3% 47.6% 2.10 +18.2%

Away O1.5 40.2% 48.8% 2.05 -17.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 109 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -10.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.8%

H 48% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–2 6.3%

#4 2–0 7.3%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qingdao Jonoon2.0

Wuhan Three Towns1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

QINGDAO JONOON · PPG 1.55

WUHAN THREE TOWNS · PPG 0.55

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Qingdao Jonoon (H) 47.7%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +21.6%

Draw 23.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -11.5%

Wuhan Three Towns (A) 29.3%

ODDS 2.44 · IMPLIED 41.0% EV -17.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Qingdao Jonoon face Wuhan Three Towns in China - Super League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qingdao Jonoon a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Wuhan Three Towns 29%, so Qingdao Jonoon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.3 for Wuhan Three Towns (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qingdao Jonoon are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.55 for Wuhan Three Towns. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +33.6%. This match finished 1-5.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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