Today / China - Super League / Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island

Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction— China - Super League

Matchday 25 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 11:00

Tianjin Teda

PPG 1.09 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Qingdao Youth Island

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.9% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-17.9%0-23.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.7%1-112.2%1-25.8%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.8%2-19.3%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.0%3-14.8%3-22.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.1% 53.2% 1.88 -15.2%

Draw 25.9% 30.3% 3.30 -8.7%

Away win 29.0% 25.6% 3.90 +7.9%

Over 2.5 50.5% 51.3% 1.95 -1.5%

Over 3.5 28.7% 29.9% 3.35 -2.3%

BTTS 51.9% 57.1% 1.75 -9.2%

Home O1.5 42.3% 51.3% 1.95 -17.5%

Away O1.5 25.7% 30.8% 3.25 -9.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 109 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -10.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.9%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.2%

#2 1–0 12.7%

#3 2–0 9.8%

#4 0–0 8.3%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tianjin Teda1.5

Qingdao Youth Island1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TIANJIN TEDA · PPG 1.09

QINGDAO YOUTH ISLAND · PPG 1.18

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tianjin Teda (H) 45.1%

ODDS 1.88 · IMPLIED 53.2% EV -15.2%

Draw 25.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -8.7%

Qingdao Youth Island (A) 29.0%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +7.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tianjin Teda face Qingdao Youth Island in China - Super League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tianjin Teda a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Qingdao Youth Island 29%, so Tianjin Teda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Tianjin Teda and 1.0 for Qingdao Youth Island (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tianjin Teda are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.18 for Qingdao Youth Island. This match finished 1-1.

Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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