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Dalian Huayi vs Wuxi Wugou Prediction— China - League One

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 11:00

Dalian Huayi

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Wuxi Wugou

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.3% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-17.6%0-26.4%0-33.6%0-4+2.2%1 1-06.4%1-110.7%1-29.1%1-35.1%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.5%2-17.6%2-26.4%2-33.6%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.1%3-13.6%3-23.0%3-31.7%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.7%4+-21.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.6% 52.6% 1.90 -34.3%

Draw 24.0% 29.4% 3.40 -11.0%

Away win 41.3% 28.2% 3.55 +46.6%

Over 2.5 59.7% 57.1% 1.75 +4.5%

Over 3.5 36.6% 35.1% 2.85 +4.3%

BTTS 61.3% 61.7% 1.62 -0.7%

Home O1.5 40.0% 54.6% 1.83 -26.8%

Away O1.5 48.5% 36.4% 2.75 +33.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 82 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.3%

A 41% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1✓ 7.6%

#4 0–2 6.4%

#5 0–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalian Huayi1.4

Wuxi Wugou1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DALIAN HUAYI · PPG 1.33

WUXI WUGOU · PPG 1.40

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dalian Huayi (H) 34.6%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -34.3%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -11.0%

Wuxi Wugou (A) 41.3%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +46.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalian Huayi face Wuxi Wugou in China - League One on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalian Huayi a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Wuxi Wugou 41%, so Wuxi Wugou are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dalian Huayi and 1.7 for Wuxi Wugou (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalian Huayi are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.40 for Wuxi Wugou. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +73.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Dalian Huayi vs Wuxi Wugou Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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